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		<title>FORMULA 财经</title>
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		<title>World Economy Has Entered Stagflation, Fidelity Says</title>
		<link>http://formulacaijing.wordpress.com/2008/06/25/world-economy-has-entered-stagflation-fidelity-says/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 14:16:39 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[World Economy Has Entered Stagflation, Fidelity Says 
By Darren Boey and Catherine Yang
June 24 (Bloomberg) &#8212; The global economy has entered stagflation as surging consumer prices coincide with slowing economic expansion, Fidelity International Ltd. said.
Fidelity&#8217;s Navigator Fund is favoring investments in commodities, government bonds and cash over equities, Trevor Greetham, London-based asset allocation director at [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=formulacaijing.wordpress.com&blog=4068441&post=5&subd=formulacaijing&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><span class="news_story_title">World Economy Has Entered Stagflation, Fidelity Says </span></p>
<p>By Darren Boey and Catherine Yang</p>
<p>June 24 (Bloomberg) &#8212; The global economy has entered stagflation as surging consumer prices coincide with slowing economic expansion, Fidelity International Ltd. said.</p>
<p>Fidelity&#8217;s <a href="http://formulacaijing.wordpress.com/apps/quote?ticker=FDMANAV%3ALX">Navigator Fund</a> is favoring investments in commodities, government bonds and cash over equities, <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Trevor%0AGreetham&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Trevor Greetham</a>, London-based asset allocation director at Fidelity, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in Hong Kong.</p>
<p>Economic growth worldwide has slowed as central banks increased borrowing costs to curb inflation brought about by surging food and fuel prices. Expansion has also suffered from mounting credit-market losses at the world&#8217;s biggest financial institutions, which now stand at almost $400 billion.</p>
<p>&#8220;What&#8217;s happening here is the after-effects of monetary tightening,&#8221; Greetham said. &#8220;If you want to speculate, this stagflation could last a while because of inflation targeting by central banks in the developed economies.&#8221;</p>
<p>U.S. consumer prices rose 0.6 percent in May, more than some economists forecast, according to government figures released on June 13. China increased its key rate six times in 2007 to help curb inflation that this year climbed to the fastest in more than a decade.</p>
<p>Federal Reserve policy makers have a 90 percent chance of leaving the U.S. benchmark rate unchanged at a policy meeting this week, Fed fund futures show. There is a 58 percent chance of a rate increase at the central bank&#8217;s September policy meeting, the futures indicate.</p>
<p>Greetham&#8217;s one-year-old Navigator fund held $13 million of assets at the end of May, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Greetham also helps manage the $2.8 billion <a href="http://formulacaijing.wordpress.com/apps/quote?ticker=FIDINTPF%3ACN">Fidelity Global Fund</a>.</p>
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		<title>Warren Buffet goes on an acquisition spree during this downturn</title>
		<link>http://formulacaijing.wordpress.com/2008/06/25/warren-buffet-goes-on-an-acquisition-spree-during-this-downturn/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 14:11:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Warren Buffett Says Sell to Me, Not `Porn Shop,&#8217; as Growth Dips
2008-06-25 00:04 (New York)
By Richard Teitelbaum
    June 25 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Warren Buffett is in Toronto,
fielding questions from a crowd of 300 executives. One asks what
makes people want to sell their companies to him.
    The Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chief executive officer replies
that he [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=formulacaijing.wordpress.com&blog=4068441&post=4&subd=formulacaijing&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>Warren Buffett Says Sell to Me, Not `Porn Shop,&#8217; as Growth Dips<br />
2008-06-25 00:04 (New York)</p>
<p>By Richard Teitelbaum<br />
    June 25 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Warren Buffett is in Toronto,<br />
fielding questions from a crowd of 300 executives. One asks what<br />
makes people want to sell their companies to him.<br />
    The Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chief executive officer replies<br />
that he tells a prospective seller to think of the company as a<br />
work of art.<br />
    &#8220;You can sell it to Berkshire, and we&#8217;ll put it in the<br />
Metropolitan Museum; it&#8217;ll have a wing all by itself; it&#8217;ll be<br />
there forever,&#8221; he says at the February meeting. &#8220;Or you can<br />
sell it to some porn shop operator, and he&#8217;ll take the painting<br />
and he&#8217;ll make the boobs a little bigger and he&#8217;ll stick it up in<br />
the window, and some other guy will come along in a raincoat, and<br />
he&#8217;ll buy it.&#8221;<br />
    Buffett, 77, can afford to throw a little mud on his<br />
competitors in the private equity industry. Wall Street&#8217;s<br />
acquisition machine has seized up, while Buffett, in the<br />
valedictory chapter of a career stretching back more than 60<br />
years, is on a buying spree.<br />
    He has $35.6 billion in cash to spend, and he&#8217;s looking for<br />
companies that he can buy at a reasonable price, that have<br />
experienced managers he trusts, products with strong market<br />
positions or other competitive advantages.<br />
    Buffett&#8217;s biggest catch so far in 2008 was Marmon Holdings<br />
Inc., a conglomerate owned by Chicago&#8217;s Pritzker family. On March<br />
18, Berkshire announced it had bought 60 percent of Marmon from<br />
the Pritzkers for $4.5 billion. Buffett is buying the rest in<br />
increments during the next five to six years.</p>
<p>                   Needle-Moving Events</p>
<p>    In April, he agreed to pay $2.1 billion for an undisclosed<br />
stake in Chicago&#8217;s Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. as part of McLean,<br />
Virginia-based Mars Inc.&#8217;s $23 billion purchase of the gum maker.<br />
Buffett, who already owns See&#8217;s Candies, is helping to fund the<br />
deal with $4.4 billion in subordinated debt.<br />
    &#8220;This is the kind of market where you would expect the pace<br />
of Berkshire acquisitions to pick up,&#8221; says Keith Trauner,<br />
senior analyst of Fairholme Capital Management LLC in Short<br />
Hills, New Jersey. &#8220;In a weaker business environment, sellers<br />
moderate their expectations.&#8221;<br />
    At the same time, Berkshire is now so big that Buffett is<br />
having a hard time turning acquisitions into growth. Most of<br />
Berkshire&#8217;s more than two dozen purchases since 2000 are too<br />
small to have much impact. &#8220;The larger the company becomes, the<br />
harder it is to find needle-moving events,&#8221; Citigroup Inc.<br />
analyst Joshua Shanker says.<br />
    Buffett agrees. &#8220;Anyone who thinks we will come close to<br />
repeating our past performance should sell their stock,&#8221; Buffett<br />
told investors at Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s annual meeting in May. He<br />
declined to comment for this story.</p>
<p>                   Affinity for Insurance</p>
<p>    The Sage of Omaha, by his own count, now owns 76 companies<br />
outright, a number that rises to about 200 if Marmon&#8217;s 125<br />
subsidiaries, which make everything from water treatment gear to<br />
brake drums, are taken into account. Among the Buffett companies<br />
are names familiar to most Americans: Geico car insurance, best<br />
known for the Cockney-accented gecko in its television<br />
commercials; Dairy Queen restaurants; Benjamin Moore paints; and<br />
Fruit of the Loom underwear.<br />
    Berkshire also owns 8.6 percent of Coca-Cola Co., 13.1<br />
percent of American Express Co. and 8.8 percent of Wells Fargo &amp;<br />
Co. Those three investments alone amounted nearly $25 billion on<br />
June 24.<br />
    Insurance firms dominate the list of Berkshire-owned<br />
companies. Buffett controls a dozen of them &#8212; Berkshire Hathaway<br />
Reinsurance, General Re Corp. and Geico Corp. are the biggest &#8211;<br />
accounting for 31 percent of Berkshire&#8217;s 2007 revenue.<br />
    &#8220;I would say we have a special affinity for insurance,&#8221;<br />
Buffett said at the 2007 annual meeting&#8217;s news conference.</p>
<p>                   Competitive Advantage</p>
<p>    One reason is that Buffett loves float &#8212; the premiums<br />
collected from policy holders that can be invested at a profit<br />
until claims need to be paid. As of the end of December,<br />
Berkshire had $58.7 billion of float.<br />
    In May, an acquisition-minded Buffett took a tour of Europe<br />
&#8211; stopping in Germany, Italy, Spain and Switzerland &#8212; where the<br />
media and business establishment treated him like a rock star.<br />
&#8220;I&#8217;m not looking for Pet Rock or Hula Hoop businesses,&#8221; he said<br />
at a Frankfurt news conference. &#8220;I&#8217;m hoping to make big deals,<br />
whether it&#8217;s in the United States or Germany or Italy or<br />
Denmark.&#8221;<br />
    In Europe, Buffett repeatedly praised the company headed by<br />
the man who sat beside him during his European tour, Eitan<br />
Wertheimer, chairman of Tefen, Israel-based Iscar Metalworking<br />
Cos. Buffett bought an 80 percent stake in Iscar, a maker of<br />
metal-cutting tools, in 2006 for $4 billion, his first big<br />
overseas acquisition.<br />
                         Loyal Customers</p>
<p>    A close look at Iscar&#8217;s main factory complex in northern<br />
Israel shows why Buffett took an immediate interest when<br />
Wertheimer faxed him a letter declaring that Berkshire would be<br />
an ideal home for Iscar. The company has the &#8220;durable<br />
competitive advantage&#8221; Buffett told the Europeans he always<br />
looks for. It&#8217;s a market leader in the design and production of a<br />
variety of metal-cutting tools.<br />
    And Iscar has loyal customers. A disposable tungsten carbide<br />
insert used to slice steel can wear out in 20 minutes or less,<br />
meaning that Iscar must deliver a steady supply of new blades to<br />
every customer that uses them.<br />
    Buffett&#8217;s purchase of Iscar made the Wertheimers celebrated<br />
billionaires, so it&#8217;s no surprise that he receives hundreds of<br />
letters from other entrepreneurs offering to be bought out.<br />
    Among those that have made the grade in the past 10 years<br />
are: MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., which can generate a set<br />
return on equity of 10-11 percent from its regulated utilities;<br />
electronic parts distributor TTI Inc., which has never posted an<br />
annual loss nor laid off an employee; and Business Wire, one of<br />
two companies that dominate the niche of sending news and<br />
financial releases around the world.</p>
<p>                         Quick Dividends</p>
<p>    Becoming a Berkshire company can pay quick dividends. On<br />
June 30, 2005, Berkshire purchased Medical Protective Corp., a<br />
Fort Wayne, Indiana-based malpractice insurer, from General<br />
Electric Co. for $825 million. The next day, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s<br />
raised the firm&#8217;s A financial rating to AAA. &#8220;It&#8217;s hard to<br />
imagine how MedPro could have done any better than being owned by<br />
Berkshire,&#8221; CEO Tim Kenesey, 41, says.<br />
    Sometimes the benefit is more subtle. &#8220;There&#8217;s definitely a<br />
halo effect,&#8221; says Steve McKenzie, CEO of Norcross, Georgia-<br />
based Larson-Juhl Inc., a custom picture frame maker Buffett<br />
acquired in 2002 for $223 million. &#8220;It&#8217;s realized in the higher-<br />
quality recruits we hire and in potential acquisitions&#8217; readiness<br />
to talk to us,&#8221; says McKenzie, 46.</p>
<p>                         Buying on Faith</p>
<p>    Buffett often decides to buy a company after what looks like<br />
a cursory examination of its operations. He agreed to purchase<br />
Larson-Juhl after a 90-minute talk with its founder, Craig<br />
Ponzio. During his European tour, Buffett told questioners that<br />
he had bought Iscar without any due diligence and after just a<br />
few days of talks with its top executives, who traveled to the<br />
U.S. three times to meet with Buffett and his investing partner,<br />
Charles Munger.<br />
    No one from Berkshire ever stepped inside an Iscar factory<br />
before the deal was done, Buffett says.<br />
    &#8220;He&#8217;s buying on faith, and especially with larger<br />
acquisitions, that&#8217;s certainly perilous,&#8221; says analyst Chuck<br />
Hamilton, who follows insurance at FTN Midwest Securities Corp.<br />
&#8220;If he were to spend $20 billion-$30 billion on a major company,<br />
without due diligence, that would really be cause for<br />
heartburn.&#8221;<br />
    With a staff of only 19 at Berkshire headquarters in Omaha,<br />
Nebraska&#8217;s Kiewit Plaza, Buffett says he won&#8217;t buy a company<br />
without management in place that he&#8217;s sure of.</p>
<p>                       Modest Backgrounds</p>
<p>    &#8220;We have to see it in their eyes,&#8221; he said at the May 3<br />
annual meeting, where 31,000 investors converged on Omaha&#8217;s Qwest<br />
convention center to hear Buffett and Munger, 84, answer<br />
shareholder questions between mouthfuls of See&#8217;s candies.<br />
    In the case of Victor Mancinelli, CEO of CTB Inc., a maker<br />
of poultry feeding systems and other agricultural equipment in<br />
Milford, Indiana, Buffett could see it on the balance sheet.<br />
Mancinelli had paid off nearly $80 million in leveraged buyout<br />
and other debt in just three years. Berkshire bought CTB in 2002<br />
for about $180 million.<br />
    One quality Buffett firms usually have in common: CEOs from<br />
modest backgrounds, often without Ivy League degrees on their<br />
resumes. Mancinelli&#8217;s father was a truck driver, and his mother<br />
was an autoworker.<br />
    MidAmerican Chairman David Sokol worked his way through the<br />
University of Nebraska at Omaha as a night manager at a grocery<br />
chain. TTI&#8217;s Paul Andrews is a former oil rig roughneck who once<br />
sold Bibles door-to-door. Business Wire&#8217;s Cathy Baron Tamraz is a<br />
former taxi driver.</p>
<p>                       Wagering Billions</p>
<p>    Buffett is famous for his lack of pretension. He has honed<br />
the fine art of ukulele playing. He still lives in the Dutch<br />
colonial home he bought for $31,500 with his late first wife,<br />
Susan, in 1958, according to &#8220;Of Permanent Value: The Warren<br />
Buffett Story&#8221; by Andrew Kilpatrick (self-published, 2008).<br />
    When he eats out, it&#8217;s often at Gorat&#8217;s Steak House on<br />
Center Street in Omaha, where a luncheon steak will set you back<br />
$8.25  &#8211; including soup and a side of mostaccioli pasta. Buffett<br />
personally drives visitors to and from the airport. He prefers<br />
Cherry Coke to fine wine and saves money buying it by the case.<br />
    Buffett&#8217;s just-plain-folks posture is a bit of a feint. His<br />
father, Howard, was an investment banker and a Republican U.S.<br />
congressman. Warren attended the Wharton School of the University<br />
of Pennsylvania and got a master&#8217;s degree in economics from<br />
Columbia University.<br />
    In terms of the businesses he buys, Buffett never tires of<br />
telling questioners that he invests only in simple,<br />
straightforward industries whose operations he can grasp. Yet he<br />
wagers billions on everything from hedge funds to junk bonds.<br />
Through December, Buffett had made $2.3 billion in pretax<br />
earnings during the past five years on foreign-exchange bets.</p>
<p>                           Put Options</p>
<p>    And as of March, he had tens of billions of dollars riding<br />
on two kinds of derivatives &#8212; instruments he dubbed &#8220;financial<br />
weapons of mass destruction&#8221; in his 2002 letter to shareholders.<br />
The first is a variety of credit-default swap guaranteeing<br />
payment on certain high-yield bonds. Credit-default swaps, which<br />
are contracts to protect against or speculate on default, pay the<br />
buyer face value if a company fails to adhere to its debt<br />
agreements.<br />
    Buffett also has sold put options &#8212; contracts that provide<br />
the right, but not the obligation, to sell a security, currency<br />
or commodity at a set price within a set period &#8212; on four stock<br />
indexes. In his 2007 shareholder letter, Buffett wrote that<br />
because Berkshire holds the cash connected to the derivatives,<br />
there is no risk the parties on the other side of the transaction<br />
won&#8217;t pay.</p>
<p>                          Slow to Sell</p>
<p>    Buffett&#8217;s investment choices have yielded a conglomerate<br />
that&#8217;s profitable in all kinds of weather. Through May,<br />
Berkshire&#8217;s Class A stock, which traded on June 24 for $122,700 a<br />
share, has returned an average of 19.3 percent annualized in the<br />
past 20 years, nearly double the 11.2 percent return of the S&amp;P<br />
500 Index. From June 30, 2007, through June 24, Berkshire stock<br />
rose 12.1 percent, while the S&amp;P 500 Index returned a negative<br />
10.8 percent.<br />
    As of Feb. 29, Buffett himself owned 28.1 percent of the<br />
combined value of Berkshire&#8217;s Class A and B shares, worth $53.44<br />
billion on June 24. Class B shares have 1/30th of the value of<br />
Class A shares&#8217; value and 1/200th of their voting rights.<br />
    Buffett could be even richer if he had bent some of his own<br />
rules. For instance, he prides himself on buying and holding<br />
companies forever &#8212; and is slow to sell his stocks. That has<br />
cost him and his shareholders&#8217; money. Berkshire&#8217;s 8.6 percent<br />
stake in Coca-Cola was worth $17.6 billion when it hit its high<br />
in July 1998. Nearly a decade later, it&#8217;s valued at just $10.67<br />
billion  &#8211; and Buffett hasn&#8217;t sold a share.</p>
<p>                       Underwriting Losses</p>
<p>    Buffett has stumbled, most notably in 1998, when he spent<br />
$22 billion in Berkshire stock to buy Stamford, Connecticut-based<br />
General Re, one of the world&#8217;s biggest reinsurance companies.<br />
    &#8220;General Re&#8217;s name has stood for quality, integrity and<br />
professionalism in reinsurance,&#8221; Buffett wrote in that year&#8217;s<br />
shareholder letter. He lauded CEO Ronald Ferguson for his<br />
leadership.<br />
    Yet, as Buffett has pointed out in several annual reports<br />
since, the company was selling insurance way too cheaply. From<br />
1999 through 2005, Gen Re ran up a total of $7.69 billion in<br />
underwriting losses. FTN Midwest&#8217;s Hamilton estimates that those<br />
losses have been largely offset by investment income.<br />
    In 2001, Ferguson stepped down, replaced by executive vice<br />
president Joe Brandon. In that year&#8217;s letter, Buffett compared<br />
Brandon to former General Electric CEO Jack Welch. &#8220;He is smart,<br />
energetic, hands-on,&#8221; Buffett wrote.</p>
<p>                          `A Sinkhole&#8217;</p>
<p>    In 2006, prosecutors accused Ferguson, former CFO Elizabeth<br />
Monrad and two other former General Re executives of helping<br />
American International Group Inc. inflate reserves by writing<br />
sham, no-risk reinsurance contracts beginning in late 2000.<br />
    Jurors convicted all four of fraud in February, along with<br />
one former AIG executive. They are still awaiting sentencing. Two<br />
other former Gen Re executives pleaded guilty to their role in<br />
the fraud in 2005.<br />
    Buffett was interviewed by prosecutors in connection with<br />
the case. He wasn&#8217;t charged with any crime. Brandon, named by<br />
prosecutors as an unindicted co-conspirator, resigned on April<br />
14, and was replaced by Gen Re President Tad Montross.<br />
    &#8220;It&#8217;s been a sinkhole,&#8221; Hamilton says. &#8220;Buffett&#8217;s lost<br />
more than a shred of reputation.&#8221;<br />
    General Re isn&#8217;t Berkshire&#8217;s only regulatory entanglement.<br />
Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal said in May that<br />
he&#8217;s investigating whether Moody&#8217;s Investors Service, which was<br />
19.6 percent owned by Buffett as of March 31, was guilty of a<br />
conflict of interest when it gave a AAA rating to Berkshire&#8217;s new<br />
municipal bond insurance firm.</p>
<p>                         `Purse Strings&#8217;</p>
<p>    &#8220;It is one symptom of a system rife with possible conflicts<br />
of interest and problematic relationships,&#8221; Blumenthal said in a<br />
May 1 interview with Bloomberg News.<br />
    Buffett says his company deserves its rating. &#8220;If Berkshire<br />
isn&#8217;t AAA, I&#8217;m not sure what company would be,&#8221; he told<br />
Bloomberg Television.<br />
    As pressure has grown for Berkshire to spend its cash,<br />
Buffett has been willing to travel farther afield in search of<br />
companies to buy, says David Carr, chief investment officer of<br />
Oak Value Capital Management Inc.<br />
    &#8220;I think in the past five years, he&#8217;s loosened his purse<br />
strings,&#8221; Carr says. &#8220;There&#8217;s nothing off limits as long as he<br />
understands the model.&#8221;<br />
    Analyst Hamilton says Buffett is finding it hard to<br />
replicate his previous returns. &#8220;The returns on equity and<br />
capital are not what they were in years past,&#8221; he says.</p>
<p>                         Intrinsic Value</p>
<p>    Berkshire&#8217;s growth is slowing. The annual median increase in<br />
per share book value, or net worth, averaged 10.3 percent in the<br />
eight years ended on Dec. 31, 2007, compared with 26.1 percent in<br />
the 1990s and 28.8 percent in the &#8217;80s, according to Citigroup&#8217;s<br />
Shanker. He says Buffett is turning Berkshire into a conservative<br />
capital preservation vehicle.<br />
    &#8220;If you&#8217;re interested in capital appreciation, you have to<br />
ask yourself whether Berkshire Hathaway is the right<br />
investment,&#8221; Shanker says.<br />
    Buffett says there&#8217;s only a limited number of good, big<br />
companies for sale at reasonable prices. As he put it in a May<br />
2007 interview with TV host Charlie Rose, &#8220;The real goal at<br />
Berkshire is just to keep building more and more earning power<br />
from operating companies.&#8221;<br />
    What makes Buffett want to buy? He himself says there&#8217;s no<br />
secret formula, because each company&#8217;s dynamic is unique.<br />
Berkshire is most active when markets go awry and companies&#8217;<br />
market capitalizations dip below their true worth &#8212; their<br />
&#8220;intrinsic value&#8221; in Buffett-speak.</p>
<p>                         `Deal Velocity&#8217;</p>
<p>    MidAmerican Energy&#8217;s Sokol turned to Buffett during the<br />
stock market bubble of 1999. Investors, infatuated with Internet<br />
and technology stocks, were undervaluing the shares of relatively<br />
staid utilities such as Des Moines, Iowa-based MidAmerican, which<br />
looked especially pallid next to booming energy trader Enron<br />
Corp.<br />
    &#8220;You do two to three deals a year,&#8221; Sokol recalls one<br />
analyst telling him. &#8220;Your competitors are doing two to three a<br />
month; they have deal velocity.&#8221;<br />
    Shares of MidAmerican slumped to less than $27 in late 1999<br />
from $42 in &#8216;97. &#8220;The irrational behavior was driving me<br />
crazy,&#8221; Sokol says.<br />
    What Buffett saw in MidAmerican was a company positioned to<br />
take advantage of utility deregulation and grow through a string<br />
of acquisitions. It now operates regulated utilities in 10<br />
states, plus the U.K. It also owns plants in Australia and the<br />
Philippines. State regulatory commissions typically allow returns<br />
on equity of 10-11 percent.</p>
<p>                         `A Fool&#8217;s Game&#8217;</p>
<p>    &#8220;Warren thinks of our business as a good place to invest<br />
money on a long-term basis,&#8221; Sokol says.<br />
    Sokol didn&#8217;t need to join a long line of company owners<br />
trying to get Buffett&#8217;s attention. One investor in MidAmerican<br />
was Walter Scott Jr., a Berkshire director and Buffett friend. He<br />
is chairman emeritus of Omaha-based construction contractor Peter<br />
Kiewit Sons&#8217; Inc.<br />
    Scott suggested the meetings that resulted in the sale.<br />
Berkshire paid $1.7 billion for 85 percent of MidAmerican. Sokol,<br />
Scott, now 77, and MidAmerican President Gregory Abel paid some<br />
$310 million for the rest.<br />
    Midamerican dips into Berkshire&#8217;s till for acquisitions,<br />
while keeping true to Buffett&#8217;s reputation for thrift by scooping<br />
up companies on the cheap.<br />
    &#8220;With regulated assets, overpaying is a fool&#8217;s game,&#8221;<br />
Sokol says.</p>
<p>                          Deep Pockets</p>
<p>    In 2002, the company paid $450 million for Salt Lake City-<br />
based Kern River Gas Transmission Co. Also in 2002, it bought<br />
Northern Natural Gas Co. from Dynegy Inc. for $928 million.<br />
Dynegy had purchased the pipeline company, now based in Omaha,<br />
less than nine months earlier from a collapsing Enron for $1.5<br />
billion.<br />
    &#8220;It was a brilliant acquisition,&#8221; says Gordon Howald of<br />
Calyon Securities (USA) Inc. &#8220;Using standard industry multiples,<br />
we could see these assets worth more than $2 billion in today&#8217;s<br />
market.&#8221;<br />
    Sokol has kept up his buying. He paid $5.1 billion for<br />
PacifiCorp, a Portland, Oregon-based utility, in March 2006. That<br />
month, Berkshire also agreed to give him up to $3.5 billion in<br />
cash for new purchases or other purposes, in exchange for<br />
MidAmerican stock.<br />
    NetJets Inc.&#8217;s Richard Santulli also had Buffett&#8217;s deep<br />
pockets in mind when he made a call to Omaha. The year was 1998,<br />
and his partner, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which owned 20 percent<br />
of the company, was pushing for a public offering. In 1986,<br />
Santulli had invented the notion of &#8220;fractional&#8221; jet ownership,<br />
in which individuals and companies buy shares of a private<br />
plane&#8217;s flying time in lieu of buying the entire jet.</p>
<p>                       `25-Year-Old Kids&#8217;</p>
<p>    By 1998, several other companies, including Montreal-based<br />
Bombardier Inc. and Waltham, Massachusetts-based Raytheon Co.,<br />
had crowded into the field. To keep his dominant market share,<br />
Santulli expanded both the number and variety of aircraft in his<br />
fleet.<br />
    Santulli balked at the idea of an IPO for Woodbridge, New<br />
Jersey-based NetJets because going public would subject his<br />
company to the scrutiny of Wall Street analysts. &#8220;I wasn&#8217;t going<br />
to answer to 25-year-old kids telling me how to run my<br />
business,&#8221; he says in his thick Brooklyn accent.<br />
    Like Sokol, Santulli had ready access to Buffett, who was a<br />
customer and had told him in the past to give Berkshire a call if<br />
he ever wanted to sell. Less than a week after he made the call,<br />
Buffett picked Santulli up at Omaha&#8217;s Eppley Airfield in his Town<br />
Car and took him to his office. &#8220;The deal was done in 5 minutes,<br />
maybe 10 minutes,&#8221; he says. Berkshire paid about $725 million in<br />
cash and stock.</p>
<p>                       Expanding to Europe</p>
<p>    Berkshire not only bankrolled NetJets&#8217; fleet of Boeings,<br />
Citations and Gulfstreams, it also underwrote the company&#8217;s<br />
expansion to Europe. From 2000 to &#8216;05, NetJets lost $212 million<br />
building up a European fractional jet ownership program. &#8220;If I<br />
were public, I would have had to close the European business<br />
down,&#8221; Santulli says, adding that today the unit is profitable.<br />
    &#8220;If I were to sell that business &#8212; which of course we&#8217;re<br />
not &#8212; I would start at more than a billion and go from there,&#8221;<br />
he says. According to Jetnet LLC, a Utica, New York-based<br />
research firm, NetJets now has more than 50 percent of the U.S.<br />
fractional jet market and virtually no competition in Europe.<br />
    Business Wire&#8217;s Tamraz, 54, had no special entree to<br />
Buffett&#8217;s office when she faxed him a letter, along with<br />
financial data, in November 2005. Eight days later, her<br />
receptionist buzzed her.<br />
    &#8220;Warren Buffett&#8217;s on line 2,&#8221; she said.<br />
    &#8220;Hello, Mr. Buffett,&#8221; Tamraz said, as she scrambled to<br />
find her copy of the letter.<br />
    &#8220;Call me Warren,&#8221; he responded.</p>
<p>                        Job Security</p>
<p>    Tamraz says Buffett asked for more financial information on<br />
New York- and San Francisco-based Business Wire and for an idea<br />
of the price she was asking for the enterprise.<br />
    What appealed to Buffett about Business Wire was its<br />
business model, Tamraz says. The firm, founded in 1961, delivers<br />
250,000 news releases a year for 25,000 corporate clients around<br />
the world. In 2007, it had more than $125 million in sales, which<br />
have been growing about 8 percent a year for the past three<br />
years, according to Tamraz.<br />
    One reason: Regulation Fair Disclosure, a U.S. Securities<br />
and Exchange Commission rule implemented in October 2000 that<br />
requires companies to disclose market-moving information to all<br />
investors simultaneously.<br />
    Tamraz is thrifty. She has no secretary and decorates her<br />
office with posters. She&#8217;s been known to pitch in to format press<br />
releases when earnings season picks up. Another feature Buffett<br />
liked is that Business Wire has only one significant rival,<br />
London-based United Business Media Plc&#8217;s PR Newswire, which had<br />
an operating margin of 35 percent in 2007.</p>
<p>                         `Cheap Parts&#8217;</p>
<p>    Tamraz had spent four years trying to sell her business. No<br />
private equity or media firm would agree to her roster of<br />
demands, including job security for her 500 employees and a free<br />
hand to run the company. Two weeks after she talked to him,<br />
Buffett agreed to all of her conditions. The price he paid was<br />
&#8220;more than several hundred million dollars,&#8221; Tamraz says.<br />
    Fort Worth, Texas-based TTI, which Buffett bought in 2007,<br />
is also in the distribution business. It buys components that are<br />
used in an array of electronic devices and sells them to<br />
manufacturers around the world. &#8220;We sell cheap parts better than<br />
anyone,&#8221; CEO Andrews declares in his Texas drawl, before<br />
correcting himself: &#8220;We sell inexpensive parts better than<br />
anyone.&#8221;</p>
<p>                        No Losses</p>
<p>    TTI has carved out a niche in so-called passive components<br />
&#8211; connectors, capacitors and resistors. They sell for an average<br />
of less than 4 cents each. With 2007 revenue of $1.4 billion, TTI<br />
operates in an industry with thin margins. Everything about TTI<br />
is low cost: Its Spartan headquarters is tucked inside a 276,000-<br />
square-foot (25,600-square-meter) warehouse.<br />
    Andrews, 65, started TTI in his living room in 1971 after<br />
being laid off from a purchasing job at General Dynamics Corp.<br />
Over the years, he plowed profits back into inventory and rode<br />
out the cycles of the electronics industry that forced many<br />
rivals to sell or fold. Andrews says TTI has never posted an<br />
annual loss and has never laid off an employee.<br />
    Today, TTI&#8217;s inventory is enormous. An Apple iPod may have<br />
about 500 components, and TTI says it stocks 450 of them. All<br />
told, the company sells more than a million different kinds of<br />
parts. TTI buys them from manufacturers such as Malvern,<br />
Pennsylvania-based Vishay Intertechnology Inc. and Greenville,<br />
South Carolina-based Kemet Corp. &#8220;When you come down to it, they<br />
are an extension of our sales force,&#8221; Kemet CEO Per-Olof Loof<br />
says.</p>
<p>                   Hamburgers and Cokes</p>
<p>    Receiving, &#8220;picking&#8221; and packaging orders at TTI is<br />
largely automated. For high-volume items, automatic lifts pluck<br />
the appropriate bar-coded part &#8212; say, a reel of capacitors &#8211;<br />
from a revolving carousel and send it off on a conveyor to be<br />
combined with the balance of the order. Given the company&#8217;s low-<br />
priced goods, any error in the process will eat up TTI&#8217;s profits.<br />
    Andrews got his foot in Berkshire&#8217;s door through John Roach,<br />
a friend of Andrews&#8217;s who had sold Justin Industries Inc., a Fort<br />
Worth building supply maker, to Berkshire in 2000 for $600<br />
million. Roach overnighted TTI&#8217;s 3-inch (7.6-centimeter) thick<br />
book of financial information to Buffett and set up a meeting.<br />
    Andrews arrived with Roach at Buffett&#8217;s offices at 10 a.m.<br />
on Nov. 15, 2006, for a scheduled two-hour meeting. It lasted<br />
twice as long, with Buffett peppering Andrews with questions<br />
about his business and family. Buffett treated his visitors to<br />
hamburgers and Cokes at a country club, and then they returned to<br />
his office.<br />
    &#8220;Warren made an offer, and Paul made a quick response,&#8221;<br />
says Roach.<br />
    &#8220;OK, let&#8217;s do it,&#8221; Buffett said and called in CFO Marc<br />
Hamburg to work out the details. The price wasn&#8217;t disclosed.</p>
<p>                        Katyusha Rockets</p>
<p>    Andrews agreed to stay at TTI for at least three years.<br />
&#8220;There&#8217;s nothing in writing, except a handshake and a<br />
gentleman&#8217;s agreement that I&#8217;m going to be here to do what I said<br />
I was going to do,&#8221; he says.<br />
    One reason Andrews says he sold to Buffett was he had no<br />
desire to see his company loaded with debt by a private equity<br />
firm or gutted by a cost-cutting rival. Iscar&#8217;s Wertheimer, 56,<br />
had the same notion. &#8220;We are very proud of what we&#8217;ve built,&#8221;<br />
he says. &#8220;We want it to continue.&#8221;<br />
    In buying an Israeli company, Buffett took on the kind of<br />
geopolitical risk he&#8217;s accustomed to as an insurer. Within days<br />
after the deal closed in July 2006, fighting broke out between<br />
Israel and the Shiite Hezbollah group that dominates southern<br />
Lebanon.<br />
    Wertheimer called Buffett to tell him that Katyusha rockets<br />
were slamming into the sun-baked hills around his plants and<br />
there was a chance his machinery would be damaged and that his<br />
employees would lose workdays.</p>
<p>                       20-Year Perspective</p>
<p>    &#8220;I&#8217;m not interested in what happens next quarter,&#8221;<br />
Wertheimer says Buffett told him. &#8220;I&#8217;m interested in the next 20<br />
years.&#8221; Some of Wertheimer&#8217;s staff did move south while the<br />
rockets were falling. Iscar didn&#8217;t miss a shipment.<br />
    Wertheimer says that in the eight months and three face-to-<br />
face visits leading up to the Iscar deal, he and the Omaha<br />
investor had wide-ranging discussions about everything from<br />
philanthropy to &#8220;how to look on life,&#8221; in Wertheimer&#8217;s words.<br />
At one point, Buffett sent him a biography of the Jewish-American<br />
educator Abraham Flexner, who helped found the Institute for<br />
Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey. Both Buffett and<br />
Wertheimer have a longstanding interest in education.<br />
    &#8220;I love talking to him,&#8221; Wertheimer says. &#8220;For me, he&#8217;s a<br />
teacher.&#8221;<br />
    Wertheimer took over as CEO of Iscar in 1984, when his<br />
father, Stef, now 81, who founded the company after fleeing Nazi<br />
Germany, was injured in a car accident.</p>
<p>                     Jews, Arabs and Druse</p>
<p>    He transformed it from a local exporter of metal-cutting<br />
tools into an international enterprise with 7,500 employees,<br />
plants from Barcelona to Bangkok and more than $1 billion in 2007<br />
sales. In 1995, he turned over the CEO position to his colleague,<br />
Jacob Harpaz, 57.<br />
    &#8220;I was just getting in Jacob&#8217;s way, so I fired myself,&#8221;<br />
says Wertheimer, who remains chairman.<br />
    On a rainy day in March, Wertheimer leads a tour through<br />
some of the 20 buildings that comprise the company&#8217;s hillside<br />
campus. The company&#8217;s Israeli workers are a combination of Jews,<br />
Arabs and Druse, many of whom Wertheimer greets by name.<br />
    Iscar&#8217;s tools are used by makers of cars, appliances and<br />
other durable goods to cut metal to exacting specifications. The<br />
inserts, as they&#8217;re called, sell for anywhere from a few dollars<br />
to more than $100 each. Teams of Iscar designers are at work<br />
every day looking for ways to make them cut faster and more<br />
efficiently.</p>
<p>                         Sharper Tools</p>
<p>    One customer is Bolton, Ontario-based Husky Injection<br />
Molding Systems Ltd. In April, manufacturing engineer Noel Pinto<br />
was looking for a way to improve the milling of the steel plates<br />
Husky makes at its Milton, Vermont plant. They are used in<br />
plastic bottle manufacturing, among other processes. Iscar&#8217;s<br />
Thomas Raun devised a new tooling process, improving the speed of<br />
the operation by 40 percent.<br />
    &#8220;They find ways to implement new technology,&#8221; says Pinto.<br />
    Wertheimer says he&#8217;s very comfortable linking up with<br />
Buffett. &#8220;Warren has a message to the world,&#8221; he says. &#8220;It&#8217;s<br />
balance.&#8221; He points with his index finger to his head, to his<br />
heart and finally to his wallet. &#8220;And he does it in a fair,<br />
clean and nice way,&#8221; he says.<br />
    One of the companies Buffett owns is expected to yield a new<br />
Berkshire top executive if the Omaha investor passes from the<br />
scene anytime soon. Buffett updates shareholders regularly on the<br />
subject of succession and did again at the annual meeting in May.<br />
Berkshire&#8217;s board, he said, has identified three candidates with<br />
the qualifications to succeed him as CEO, and one has been<br />
selected.</p>
<p>                    `Nobody Replaces Warren&#8217;</p>
<p>    Analysts, including Citigroup&#8217;s Shanker, say based on their<br />
ages and accomplishments, the most likely candidates are NetJets&#8217;<br />
Santulli, 63; MidAmerican&#8217;s Sokol, 51; Berkshire Re head Ajit<br />
Jain, 56; and Geico CEO Tony Nicely, 65.<br />
    Four money managers have also been selected as candidates to<br />
replace Buffett in his role as chief investor. The board and new<br />
CEO will decide which of those candidates he will work with.<br />
    These plans could change if Buffett remains in place for an<br />
extended period, and men like Santulli and Nicely are seen as too<br />
old to don his mantle. The new CEO could end up being the head of<br />
a Berkshire company that has yet to be acquired.<br />
    Sokol doesn&#8217;t let the issue trouble him. &#8220;There is more<br />
than adequate talent to keep the Berkshire Hathaway way of doing<br />
things going forward,&#8221; he says. &#8220;But nobody replaces Warren<br />
Buffett.&#8221;<br />
    Buffett treats the issue of his mortality with<br />
characteristic wisecracking humor. One Saturday morning several<br />
months ago, CTB&#8217;s Mancinelli says he called Buffett, as he<br />
occasionally does. Buffett asked to call him back, saying he had<br />
an appointment with his barber.<br />
    &#8220;The way I figure it, I have just so many haircuts left in<br />
my life,&#8221; Buffett said. &#8220;I don&#8217;t want to miss any of them.&#8221;</p>
<p>For related news:<br />
Buffett in Europe: STNI BUFFETTINEUROPE &lt;GO&gt;<br />
Buyout, LBO News: NI LBO &lt;GO&gt;</p>
<p>&#8211; Editors: Michael Serrill, Frederic Wiegold. With reporting by<br />
Josh P. Hamilton in New York.<br />
<a href="http://seeshihui.wordpress.com/2007/11/15/analysts-sell-side-and-buy-side/"></a></p>
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		<title>Analysts: Sell-side and buy-side</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 14:01:02 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The terms sell-side and buy-side analysts are used to describe investment analysts who work in stock brokerages (selling ideas) and asset management companies (buying ideas). The job function, at the basic levels is similar for both analysts categories. Those working in the stock brokerages aim to develop products, in this case investment ideas, and then [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=formulacaijing.wordpress.com&blog=4068441&post=3&subd=formulacaijing&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>The terms sell-side and buy-side analysts are used to describe investment analysts who work in stock brokerages (selling ideas) and asset management companies (buying ideas). The job function, at the basic levels is similar for both analysts categories. Those working in the stock brokerages aim to develop products, in this case investment ideas, and then market the ideas to their clients at the asset management companies. Buy side analysts work in the asset management companies. While they do conduct research, they also assess some of these investment ideas from sell-side analysts. In the event they like some of those ideas, they are deemed to buy those ideas. Hope that helps to clarify the issue for those who are unaware.</p>
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